El sol peruano viene ganando valor frente al dólar, impulsado por la expectativa de recortes de tasas en EE.UU. y el alza de los precios de commodities como el cobre, la plata y el oro. Esta apreciación beneficia al consumidor —al abaratar las importaciones y aliviar la inflación— y atrae capital extranjero hacia activos en soles, como los bonos soberanos, cuya participación foránea subió a 42.85% en mayo.
El superávit en cuenta corriente y la solidez macroeconómica refuerzan esta tendencia. Sin embargo, también hay desafíos: las exportaciones podrían verse afectadas si el tipo de cambio sigue cayendo, aunque los altos precios de los minerales han compensado ese riesgo.
Los bancos y casas de cambio enfrentan presiones adicionales por la caída del dólar, ya que deben ajustar sus operaciones para evitar desbalances financieros. Mientras tanto, el Banco Central de Reserva podría intervenir en el mercado si detecta movimientos bruscos que amenacen la estabilidad cambiaria.
La solidez del sol peruano, combinada con un manejo fiscal responsable y señales claras al mercado, posiciona al país como un destino atractivo para inversionistas globales. No obstante, seguir diversificando la economía será clave para sostener este buen momento frente a posibles cambios en el escenario internacional.
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